Reading the Cryptocurrency Market: From Fundamentals to Strategy

Criptomoedas
10 julho 2025
Crypto Insights

Once you’ve grasped the basics of cryptocurrency market, it’s time to go to the next level. This guide is designed to help intermediate traders understand the deeper forces driving crypto prices and how to strategically respond to them. 

We’ll break down how to use macro news, technical setups, sentiment signals, and intermarket dynamics to build trades with more confidence and clarity. 

Let’s start. 

 

Table of Contents 

  1. Using the Economic Calendar for Crypto 

  1. Linking Fundamentals to Market Moves 

  1. Technical Analysis for Crypto: Timing the Entry 

  1. Combining Fundamentals with Technical 

  1. Reading Intermarket Clues 

  1. Tools Every Crypto Trader Should Use 

  1. Strategy: The Post-News Pullback 

  1. Psychology of a Crypto Trader 

  1. Key Takeaways 

 

Using the Economic Calendar for Crypto 

Crypto might be decentralized, but macro news still moves it. 

Even though Bitcoin isn’t tied to a central bank, it reacts to traditional financial data. Economic calendars aren’t just for forex or stocks. Crypto traders can use them to anticipate volatility and avoid being blindsided by surprising events. 

What to watch: 

  • US CPI and jobs data 

  • Fed statements and interest rate decisions 

  • Regulatory news (e.g., SEC rulings, ETF approvals) 

  • Major adoption announcements (e.g., payment platforms adding crypto) 

Example: 
Bitcoin tanks 5% after hot CPI data signals the Fed might stay hawkish longer. Traders who anticipated that risk were already positioned or sitting out. 

Let’s now look at how those events translate into price action. 

 

Linking Fundamentals to Market Moves 

You’ve probably seen headlines make coins fly or crash. But how do you make sense of them? 

This section bridges news events with directional market moves. When a fundamental catalyst appears, your job is to map it to sentiment and trend. 

Event 

Likely Impact 

Hawkish Fed tone 

Bearish for BTC & ETH 

Institutional adoption news 

Bullish across majors 

Major hack or rug pull 

Bearish, especially for altcoins 

ETF approval or delay 

Bullish or bearish, depending on outcome 

Global recession fears 

Mixed: BTC may rally as a hedge 

Understanding the narrative lets you anticipate rather than chase. But you still need a chart to time it. 

 

Technical Analysis for Crypto: Timing the Entry 

Fundamentals give you direction. Technical analysis gives you execution. 

Now that you have context, here’s how to use key tools to find smart entries and exits. 

Popular tools: 

  • Support and Resistance: Identify zones where price has historically reacted. 

 
 

  • Trendlines and Channels: Draw paths across swing highs or lows to see direction and fading momentum. 

 

  • Moving Averages (50/200): Help spot trend bias and dynamic support. 

 

  • Candlestick Patterns: Look for engulfing candles, pin bars, or indecision wicks at key levels. 

 
 

Pro tip: The cleaner the chart, the better. Avoid loading up with too many indicators. 

With these tools, it’s time to combine them with the narrative for a full picture. 

 

Combining Fundamentals with Technical 

This is where intermediate traders start building an edge. 

In this section, we’ll walk through two real-world examples of how combining fundamentals and technical leads to smarter entries. 

Scenario 1: 
ETH is rallying after optimism around an ETF. The chart breaks through resistance and closes above with volume. Two days later, it retests the level and prints a bullish pin bar. That’s your potential setup: fundamentals support it, technical analysis confirms it. 

Scenario 2: 
SOL is up 30% on hype. But on-chain activity isn’t growing, and the RSI is overbought. It prints a double top and forms a bearish engulfing. That’s your potential sign the narrative is losing steam. 

Now that we’ve aligned the story with the chart, let’s step outside the chart. 

 

Reading Intermarket Clues 

Crypto doesn’t move randomly. It’s linked to other markets. 

Look at: 

  • Bitcoin vs. NASDAQ: Tech stocks often move with BTC. Watch for early signs. 

  • Dollar Index (DXY): Strong dollar can weigh on risk assets like crypto. 

  • Gold and Commodities: When fear rises, safe-haven flows can draw capital away from altcoins. 

Correlations can confirm or challenge your bias. Use them to validate direction. 

Let’s now make sure you’ve got the right tools to stay ahead. 

 

Tools for Every Crypto Trader 

Being prepared is half the battle. 

Your toolkit should include: 

  • Economic Calendar: Track U.S. data releases and Fed meetings. 

  • Crypto News Feed: Use platforms like CoinDesk, The Block, or D Prime Market Analysis. 

  • Charting Platform: MT5, TradingView, or any broker-integrated tool. 

  • Sentiment Monitors: Look at Fear & Greed Index, funding rates, and COT-style data. 

  • Trade Journal: Log setups, emotions, outcomes. 

Structure makes you consistent. Now let’s apply everything with a practical setup. 

 

Strategy: The Post-News Pullback 

Here’s a repeatable strategy that blends macro and price action. 

The Setup: 

A hot news event causes BTC to spike. Rather than jumping in during the chaos, wait for price to retrace to a previous support or resistance zone. 

Execution: 

  • Identify the structure level (e.g., broken resistance now acting as support). 

  • Wait for a signal: bullish engulfing, hammer, etc. 

  • Look for a potential entry with defined stop-loss and 2:1 reward ratio. 

Example: 
Bitcoin spikes on ETF news. Pulls back from $44,000 to $42,500. Prints a long wick and closes green. That’s your potential entry signal. 

Now let’s cover the mental aspect. 

 

Psychology of a Crypto Trader 

Without the right mindset, all the tools in the world won’t help. 

Crypto is volatile, emotional, and full of hype. You must stay grounded. 

Useful tips: 

  • Don’t chase pumps. Wait for setups. 

  • Cut losers early. Let winners run. 

  • Track your emotions. Don’t double down on frustration. 

  • Walk away if your mental state is off. 

Your edge isn’t just your system, it’s your self-control. 

 

Key Takeaways 

The intermediate level is where you stop guessing and start thinking like a strategist. 

Use the economic calendar. Connect headlines to trends. Read charts with purpose. And above all, keep your mindset sharp. 

The market doesn’t need perfection. It needs preparation. 

When you’re ready, click here to explore our advanced crypto guide on mastering high-probability strategies, timing precision, and risk control with crypto CFDs. 

 

Disclaimer  

This information contained in this blog is intended for general reference only and should not be construed investment advice, a recommendation, an offer, or an invitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. It does not consider any specific recipient’s investment objectives or financial situation or particular needs and should not be regarded as personalized advice. Past performance references are not reliable indicators of future performance. D Prime and its affiliates make no representations or warranties about the accuracy or completeness of the information provided and accept no liability for any losses or damages resulting from its use or from any investments made based on it.   

Do not rely on the above content to replace your independent judgment. You should consider the appropriateness of this information concerning your personal circumstances before making any investment decisions. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution. 

 

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